From: https://www.unz.com/pescobar/all-the-way-to-odessa/
All the Way to Odessa
By: PEPE ESCOBAR • AUGUST 26, 2022 • 1,000 WORDS • 14 COMMENTS
[Here is one analyst's analysis -- plausible if somewhat fanciful -- of how things will play out. –FNC]
Dmitry
Medvedev, relishing his unplugged self, has laid down the law on the
Special Military Operation (SMO). Bluntly, he affirmed there is a “one and a
half” scenario: either
to
1.
go all the way, or
2.
a
military coup d’etat in Ukraine followed by admitting the inevitable.
No tertium
applies.
That’s as stark as it gets: the leadership in Moscow is making
it very clear, to internal and international audiences, the new deal consists
in slow cooking the Kiev racket inside a massive cauldron while polishing its
status of financial black hole for the collective West. Until we reach boiling
point – which will be a revolution or a putsch.
In parallel, The Lords of (Proxy) War will continue with their
own strategy, which is to pillage an enfeebled, fearful, Europe, then dressing
it up as a perfumed colony to be ruthlessly exploited ad nauseam by the
imperial oligarchy.
Europe is now a runaway TGV[i] –
minus the requisite Hollywood production values. Assuming it does not veer off
track – a dicey proposition – it may eventually arrive at a railway station
called Agenda 2030, The Great Narrative, or some other NATO/Davos denomination
du jour.
As it stands, what’s
remarkable is how the “marginal” Russian economy hardly broke a sweat to “end
the abundance” of the wealthiest region on the planet.
Moscow does not even entertain the notion of negotiating with
Brussels because [it has come out that –FNC] there’s nothing to negotiate – considering
puny Eurocrats will only be hurled away from their
zombified state when the dire socio-economic consequences of “the end of
abundance” will finally translate into peasants with pitchforks roaming the
continent.
It may be eons away, but inevitably the average Italian, German
or Frenchman will connect the dots and realize it is their own “leaders” –
national nullities and mostly unelected Eurocrats –
who are paving their road to poverty.
You will be poor. And you will like it. Because we are all
supporting freedom for Ukrainian neo-nazis. That
brings the concept of “multicultural Europe” to a whole new level.
The runaway train, of course, may veer off track and plunge into
an Alpine abyss. In this case something might be saved from the wreckage – and
“reconstruction” might be on the cards. But reconstruct what?
Europe could always reconstruct a new Reich (collapsed with a
bang in 1945); a soft Reich (erected at the end of WWII); or break with its
past failures, sing “I’m Free” – and connect with Eurasia. Don’t bet on it.
Get back those Taurian lands
The SMO may be about to radically change – something that will
drive the already clueless denizens of U.S. Think Tankland
and their Euro vassals even more berserk.
President Putin and
Defense Minister Shoigu have been giving serious
hints the only way for the pain dial is up – considering the mounting evidence
of terrorism inside Russian territory; the vile assassination of Darya Dugina; non-stop shelling of civilians in border regions;
attacks on Crimea; the use of chemical weapons; and the shelling of Zaporizhzhya power plant raising the risk of a nuclear
catastrophe.
This past Tuesday, one day before the SMO completing six months,
Crimea’s permanent representative to the Kremlin, Georgy Muradov,
all but spelled it out.
He stressed the necessity to “reintegrate all the Taurian lands” – Crimea, the Northern Black Sea and the
Azov Sea – into a single entity as soon as “in the next few months”. He defined
this process as “objective and demanded by the population of these regions.”
Muradov added,
“given not only the strikes on Crimea, but also the
continuous shelling of the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power
plant, the dam of the Kakhovka reservoir, peaceful
facilities on the territory of Russia, the DNR and LNR, there are all
preconditions to qualify the actions of the Banderite
regime as terrorist.”
The conclusion is inevitable: “the political issue of changing the format of the
special military operation” enters the agenda. After all,
Washington and Brussels “have already prepared new anti-Crimean provocations of
the NATO-Bandera alliance”.
So when we examine what the “restoration of the Taurian lands” implies, we see
1.
not only the contours of Novorossiya but
2.
most of all
that there won’t be any security for Crimea – and thus Russia – in the Black
Sea without Odessa becoming Russian again. And that, on top of it, will solve
the Transnistria dilemma.
Add to it
1.
Kharkov – the capital and top industrial center of Greater
Donbass.
2.
And of course Dnipropetrovsk.
They are all SMO[ii]
objectives, the whole combo to be later protected by
1.
buffer zones
in Chernihiv and Sumy oblasts.
Only then the “tasks” – as Shoigu calls
them – of the SMO would be declared fulfilled. The timeline could be
eight to ten months – after a lull under General Winter.
As the turbo-charged SMO rolls on, it’s a given the Empire of
Chaos, Lies and Plunder will continue to prop up and weaponize the Kiev racket
till Kingdom Come – and that will apply especially after the Return of Odessa.
What’s unclear is who and what gang will be left in Kiev posing as the ruling
party and doing specials for Vogue while duly fulfilling the mass of imperial
diktats.
It’s also a given the CIA/MI6 combo [relevant
parts of the Administrative State of the Anglo-American Establishment –FNC] will
be refining non-stop the contours of a massive guerrilla war against Russia in multiple fronts – crammed
with terror attacks and all sorts of provocations.
Yet in the Bigger Picture
it’s the inevitable Russian military victory in Donbass and then “all the Taurian lands” that will hit the collective West like a
lethal asteroid. The geopolitical humiliation will be unbearable; not to
mention the geoeconomic humiliation for vassalized Europe.
As Eurasian integration will become an even stronger vector,
Russian diplomacy will be solidifying the new normal. Never forget that Moscow had no trouble
normalizing relations, for instance, with
·
China,
·
Iran,
·
Qatar,
·
Saudi Arabia,
·
Pakistan and
·
Israel.
All these actors, in different ways, directly contributed to the
fall of the USSR. Now
– with one exception – they are all
focused on The Dawn of the Eurasian Century.
(Republished
from Strategic Culture Foundation by
permission of author or representative)